Decision Desk Forecasts Sandy Smith vs. Don Davis

“Longtime Democratic incumbent G.K. Butterfield is retiring in North Carolina’s 1st Congressional District, and the 2022 contest is rated a tossup between Republican Sandy Smith and Democrat State Senator Don Davis. Smith swung this district 20 points to the right as the Republican nominee in 2020, and continuing population decline in the district’s majority-black counties will be key to her chances here. This is a good example of a district that Smith and Republicans should win in a Republican-leaning environment nationwide.”